Paper Guru
By Jack Miller
About Jack
Jack Miller is founder and Principal Consultant at Market-Intell LLC, offering Need to Know™ market intelligence in paper, print and packaging. Previously, he was senior consultant, North America, with Pira International.
Known as the Paper Guru, Jack is the former director of Market Intelligence with Domtar, where he also held positions as regional sales manager, territory sales manager and product manager. He has presented at On Demand, RISI’s Global Outlook, PRIMIR, SustainCom World and at various IntertechPira conferences. Jack has written for Printing Impressions, Canadian Printer, Paper 360, PaperTree Letter and Package Printing, along with publishing a monthly e-newsletter, MarketIntellibits.
He holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics from The College of the Holy Cross and has done graduate studies in Statistics and Finance.
Coated Paper: Simple as One, Two, Three...
We’ve recently been talking about coated paper prices as if there’s a single entity called coated paper. Of course, it’s not that simple. There are a lot of different coated papers and, too, coated papers compete with uncoated papers—not to mention electronic forms of communication.
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Coated Paper Prices Debate Continued
Paper consumption in North America is declining. This is a structural decline, and not just a cyclical decline. That means we can’t expect paper demand to “return to normal” when the economy recovers. This is the new “normal.” That point is not in debate, though experts do differ on the rate of decline.
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Coated Prices Ready for a Fall, or Not?
The issue, of course, is supply and demand. While some may disagree on the precise numbers, there is little doubt that demand will decline next year. The supply side is much more complex. Will coated mills chase prices lower?
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Paper Demand Declines May Cap Prices
If there is any good news for printers, it is that paper prices may be bumping up against a ceiling. Coated paper does have continuing overcapacity, putting pressure on prices, and uncoated prices have risen to the point where coated prices are sometimes lower than uncoated.
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Cellulose: May the Force Be with You
The growth in print decoupled from general economic growth in the ’90s, which has challenged the entire supply chain. One of the most innovative and exciting developments is CelluForce, a joint venture between Domtar and FPInnovations.
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